Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 6.827885 7.490799 8.208030 9.044761 9.997968 11.054595 12.320745
2026-02-01 5.842450 6.708638 7.704929 8.946118 10.465717 12.284999 14.657645
2026-02-08 5.214889 6.170914 7.316454 8.809422 10.732718 13.168163 16.554027
2026-02-15 4.733902 5.733069 6.969000 8.638418 10.879491 13.852402 18.216913
2026-02-22 4.402860 5.439270 6.757040 8.593841 11.152222 14.693244 20.163767
2026-03-01 4.040324 5.069503 6.406685 8.317795 11.060218 14.990901 21.329509
2026-03-08 3.689223 4.686817 6.005697 7.929397 10.758425 14.933210 21.915477
2026-03-15 3.467482 4.461101 5.798277 7.790039 10.795080 15.368483 23.323582
2026-03-22 3.512971 4.600294 6.100670 8.403436 12.008666 17.750115 28.344386
2026-03-29 3.421347 4.539755 6.112259 8.581183 12.558273 19.121232 31.819744
2026-04-05 3.235697 4.333581 5.897922 8.394308 12.499452 19.452881 33.392910
2026-04-12 3.151443 4.268498 5.886084 8.519338 12.961402 20.735585 37.042839
2026-04-19 2.995821 4.094995 5.707818 8.376693 12.975352 21.248465 39.290544
2026-04-26 2.863563 3.949699 5.564350 8.280305 13.061169 21.907276 41.994169
2026-05-03 2.736186 3.804859 5.412451 8.157154 13.084563 22.443628 44.524812
2026-05-10 2.611737 3.658288 5.249360 8.002613 13.034483 22.824621 46.764190
2026-05-17 2.521631 3.560130 5.157326 7.962316 13.191300 23.643012 50.264837
2026-05-24 2.393545 3.397259 4.953004 7.712619 12.926874 23.544241 51.370077
2026-05-31 2.252487 3.208781 4.699021 7.360847 12.437930 22.911686 50.923162
2026-06-07 2.165692 3.102780 4.575399 7.234500 12.382179 23.223582 53.177309
2026-06-14 2.216413 3.217244 4.820724 7.790113 13.742120 26.911135 66.307372
2026-06-21 2.189293 3.204479 4.851215 7.950872 14.307267 28.841080 74.761999
2026-06-28 2.105098 3.095101 4.711750 7.781855 14.156674 29.000205 77.367496